Final Score: Heat 106 - Hornets 136
Tuesday, March 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hornets

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
38-30 Rating 1608
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Charlotte Hornets +5.2
Hornets
34-34 Rating 1663
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Hornets
All-time wins 91 55
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 100.7 97.1
Last meeting 128 120

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Hornets
Games played 68 68
Avg points scored 120.4 115.5
Avg points conceded 116.6 112.3
Win percentage 56% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 45%