Final Score: Magic 121 - Heat 117
Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Magic @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Magic
37-28 Rating 1574
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +5.2
Heat
38-29 Rating 1630
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Magic Heat
All-time wins 67 84
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 99.5 100.7
Last meeting 133 124

Key Season Stats

Stat Magic Heat
Games played 65 67
Avg points scored 115.6 120.5
Avg points conceded 114.0 116.5
Win percentage 57% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 68%