Final Score: Hawks 117 - Heat 143
Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Hawks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Hawks
46-35 Rating 1685
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks +0.8
Heat
42-39 Rating 1492
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Hawks Heat
All-time wins 71 93
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 97.7 100.5
Last meeting 97 128

Key Season Stats

Stat Hawks Heat
Games played 81 81
Avg points scored 118.5 120.6
Avg points conceded 115.7 118.6
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 62%