Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Mavericks 113 - Heat 109
Monday, October 26, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Dallas
Mavericks
1-2 Rating 1324
Form: LWLWL
113 – 109
Model Probability
26%
74%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +6.3
Miami
Heat
0-3 Rating 1453
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 45 46
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 100.2 100.5
Last meeting 118 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 112.3 109.0
Avg points conceded 118.3 124.7
Win percentage 33% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 0%