Brewers @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Brewers 4 - Rays 1
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Milwaukee
Brewers
113-61 Rating 1602
Form: WWWWL
Brewers
4 – 1
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.3
Tampa Bay
Rays
106-69 Rating 1553
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Rays
All-time wins 18 14
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 2.8
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Rays
Games played 174 175
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.5
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 65% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 68%