Orioles @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Orioles 3 - Yankees 6
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
Baltimore
Orioles
79-81 Rating 1504
Form: LWWWW
3 – 6
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.8
New York
Yankees
92-68 Rating 1556
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Yankees
All-time wins 388 520
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 10 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Yankees
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.7
Win percentage 49% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 57%