Final Score: Orioles 10 - Yankees 2
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
78-81 Rating 1501
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.9
Yankees
92-67 Rating 1559
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Yankees
All-time wins 387 520
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.9
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Yankees
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.7
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 58%