Astros @ Athletics

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Astros 5 - Athletics 6
Friday, September 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET
Houston
Astros
79-80 Rating 1509
Form: LLWLW
5 – 6
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Athletics
Athletics
63-96 Rating 1433
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Athletics
All-time wins 128 112
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.2
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Athletics
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.7
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 40%