Final Score: Tigers 3 - Guardians 4
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Tigers @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
64-76 Rating 1484
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.5
Guardians
71-70 Rating 1507
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Guardians
All-time wins 443 459
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Guardians
Games played 140 141
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 46% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 47%