Final Score: Red Sox 7 - Cardinals 1
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET
Red Sox @ Cardinals
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 22 | 17 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 5.4 | 4.7 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Win percentage | 31% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 14% | 71% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 14
6-8
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs San Diego Padres
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Houston Astros
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Houston Astros
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
Cardinals
vs Boston Red Sox
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Washington Nationals
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 17
6-11
@ Detroit Tigers
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs New York Mets
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Mets
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs New York Mets
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4