Final Score: Phillies 2 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, October 2, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
81-79 Rating 1537
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.1
Nationals
96-64 Rating 1529
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 394 350
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 51% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 61%