Final Score: Phillies 1 - Marlins 2
Friday, September 28, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
78-78 Rating 1533
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Marlins
66-90 Rating 1449
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 174 144
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 50% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 47%