Final Score: Nationals 8 - Phillies 4
Wednesday, September 26, 2012 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
93-61 Rating 1528
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Phillies
78-76 Rating 1537
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 348 393
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 154 154
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.2
Win percentage 60% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 51%