Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 1
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
79-79 Rating 1533
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Marlins
67-91 Rating 1450
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 175 145
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 9 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.5
Win percentage 50% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 47%