Final Score: Nationals 4 - Cardinals 10
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 2:15 PM ET

Nationals @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
96-62 Rating 1533
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.1
Cardinals
85-73 Rating 1522
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cardinals
All-time wins 285 294
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.1
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cardinals
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 61% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 61%