Final Score: Phillies 3 - Cardinals 2
Tuesday, October 4, 2011 at 5:00 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
103-61 Rating 1579
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Cardinals
91-73 Rating 1525
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 280 301
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 164 164
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.3
Win percentage 63% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 56%