Final Score: Phillies 3 - Cardinals 5
Wednesday, October 5, 2011 at 6:00 PM ET

Phillies @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
104-61 Rating 1581
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Cardinals
91-74 Rating 1523
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cardinals
All-time wins 281 301
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cardinals
Games played 165 165
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.3
Win percentage 63% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 55%