Final Score: Cubs 2 - Cardinals 3
Sunday, September 25, 2011 at 2:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
70-88 Rating 1468
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.8
Cardinals
87-71 Rating 1521
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 349 352
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 55%