Final Score: Cubs 5 - Cardinals 1
Friday, September 23, 2011 at 8:15 PM ET

Cubs @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
69-87 Rating 1467
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.8
Cardinals
86-70 Rating 1522
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Cardinals
All-time wins 348 351
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Cardinals
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.3
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 55%