Final Score: Phillies 4 - Braves 3
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
101-60 Rating 1578
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Braves
89-72 Rating 1523
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Braves
All-time wins 284 305
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.6
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Braves
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.3 3.7
Win percentage 63% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 59%