Final Score: Braves 7 - Nationals 4
Friday, September 23, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Braves @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
88-68 Rating 1529
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +0.4
Nationals
76-79 Rating 1465
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Nationals
All-time wins 305 275
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Nationals
Games played 156 155
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.0
Win percentage 56% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 55%