Final Score: Nationals 7 - Phillies 5
Wednesday, September 21, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
74-79 Rating 1460
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
98-56 Rating 1583
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 341 385
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 153 154
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.2
Win percentage 48% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 66%