Final Score: Astros 1 - Cubs 5
Saturday, July 23, 2011 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
33-66 Rating 1429
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
40-60 Rating 1457
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 298 258
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 99 100
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 33% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 43%