Final Score: Phillies 1 - Cubs 6
Monday, July 18, 2011 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
59-35 Rating 1575
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Cubs
38-58 Rating 1456
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 300 269
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 94 96
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.3 5.1
Win percentage 63% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 42%