Final Score: Astros 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, July 10, 2011 at 1:10 PM ET

Astros @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
30-61 Rating 1432
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Marlins
42-48 Rating 1485
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Marlins
All-time wins 77 70
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Marlins
Games played 91 90
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.4
Win percentage 33% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 43%