Final Score: Pirates 4 - Astros 6
Saturday, July 16, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
48-43 Rating 1442
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Astros
30-63 Rating 1429
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Astros
All-time wins 262 287
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.1 4.4
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Astros
Games played 91 93
Avg runs scored 3.9 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.8 5.0
Win percentage 53% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 29%