Final Score: Astros 2 - Cubs 4
Friday, July 22, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
33-65 Rating 1430
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
39-60 Rating 1455
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 298 257
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 98 99
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.1
Win percentage 34% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 42%