Final Score: Phillies 9 - Cubs 1
Wednesday, July 20, 2011 at 2:20 PM ET

Phillies @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
60-36 Rating 1574
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Cubs
39-59 Rating 1456
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Cubs
All-time wins 301 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Cubs
Games played 96 98
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.3 5.0
Win percentage 62% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 42%