Final Score: Cubs 5 - Marlins 1
Thursday, May 19, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
18-23 Rating 1478
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.5
Marlins
24-17 Rating 1507
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Marlins
All-time wins 77 78
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Marlins
Games played 41 41
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.0
Win percentage 44% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 55%