Final Score: Mets 4 - Nationals 7
Wednesday, September 30, 2009 at 4:35 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
67-91 Rating 1468
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.4
Nationals
54-103 Rating 1401
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 353 334
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 158 157
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.5
Win percentage 42% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 40%