Final Score: Mets 3 - Nationals 4
Tuesday, September 29, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
67-90 Rating 1470
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Nationals
53-103 Rating 1399
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 353 333
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 157 156
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.5
Win percentage 43% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 39%