Final Score: Mets 1 - Nationals 2
Monday, September 28, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Mets @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
67-89 Rating 1472
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Nationals
52-103 Rating 1396
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Nationals
All-time wins 353 332
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Nationals
Games played 156 155
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.5
Win percentage 43% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 38%