Final Score: Nationals 2 - Phillies 4
Thursday, September 17, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
50-95 Rating 1403
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.7
Phillies
84-60 Rating 1556
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Phillies
All-time wins 327 364
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Phillies
Games played 145 144
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.3
Win percentage 34% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 56%