Final Score: Padres 7 - Reds 4
Thursday, July 30, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
40-62 Rating 1433
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
45-55 Rating 1459
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 255 310
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 102 100
Avg runs scored 3.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 39% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 49%