Final Score: Padres 3 - Reds 2
Tuesday, July 28, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Padres @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
38-62 Rating 1429
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.6
Reds
45-53 Rating 1463
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Reds
All-time wins 253 310
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Reds
Games played 100 98
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.8
Win percentage 38% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 28% 51%