Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 2
Monday, July 20, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
46-47 Rating 1493
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.3
Padres
37-55 Rating 1439
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 61 62
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.5
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 93 92
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.1
Win percentage 49% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 51%