Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 0
Thursday, July 16, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
48-38 Rating 1548
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Marlins
46-44 Rating 1499
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 136 119
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.8
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 86 90
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.8
Win percentage 56% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 54%