Final Score: Reds 1 - Phillies 22
Monday, July 6, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
40-40 Rating 1474
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
42-37 Rating 1541
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 240 181
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.3
Last meeting 5 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 80 79
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.9
Win percentage 50% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 42%