Final Score: Phillies 4 - Rays 10
Thursday, June 25, 2009 at 7:08 PM ET

Phillies @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
37-32 Rating 1542
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Rays
38-35 Rating 1527
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Rays
All-time wins 10 12
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.5
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Rays
Games played 69 73
Avg runs scored 5.3 5.6
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.6
Win percentage 54% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 63%