Final Score: Mets 1 - Phillies 4
Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 4:05 PM ET

Mets @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
39-40 Rating 1514
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
40-37 Rating 1538
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Phillies
All-time wins 338 345
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Phillies
Games played 79 77
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.0
Win percentage 49% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 39%