Final Score: Reds 4 - Phillies 3
Tuesday, July 7, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
40-41 Rating 1472
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Phillies
43-37 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Phillies
All-time wins 240 182
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 4.4
Last meeting 1 22

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Phillies
Games played 81 80
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.9
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 44%