Final Score: Marlins 3 - Padres 2
Tuesday, July 21, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
47-47 Rating 1495
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Padres
37-56 Rating 1437
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 62 62
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 94 93
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.0
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 50%