Final Score: Marlins 5 - Padres 0
Wednesday, July 22, 2009 at 3:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
48-47 Rating 1497
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.4
Padres
37-57 Rating 1436
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Padres
All-time wins 63 62
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Padres
Games played 95 94
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.0
Win percentage 51% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 49%