Final Score: Padres 4 - Phillies 9
Thursday, July 23, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
37-58 Rating 1434
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
32%
68%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Phillies
53-39 Rating 1554
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 193 229
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 95 92
Avg runs scored 3.6 5.4
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 39% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 50%