Final Score: Cubs 1 - Phillies 4
Tuesday, July 21, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
47-44 Rating 1517
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
52-38 Rating 1555
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Phillies
All-time wins 263 291
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 1 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Phillies
Games played 91 90
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.6
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 50%