Final Score: Cubs 11 - Nationals 3
Sunday, July 19, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
46-43 Rating 1517
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.9
Nationals
26-64 Rating 1394
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 263 284
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 89 90
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.6
Win percentage 52% 29%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 36%