Final Score: Nationals 4 - Astros 9
Thursday, July 9, 2009 at 8:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
25-58 Rating 1401
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +1.3
Astros
41-43 Rating 1499
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Astros
All-time wins 186 232
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 11 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Astros
Games played 83 84
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.5
Win percentage 30% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 49%