Final Score: Astros 7 - Padres 2
Thursday, July 2, 2009 at 3:35 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
37-40 Rating 1498
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Padres
34-43 Rating 1454
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 301 270
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 77 77
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.9
Win percentage 48% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 56%