Final Score: Astros 3 - Padres 4
Tuesday, June 30, 2009 at 10:05 PM ET

Astros @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
36-39 Rating 1498
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.2
Padres
33-42 Rating 1454
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Padres
All-time wins 300 269
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.0 3.9
Last meeting 3 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Padres
Games played 75 75
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.9
Win percentage 48% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 57%