Final Score: Nationals 3 - Marlins 5
Wednesday, July 1, 2009 at 12:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
23-53 Rating 1404
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +1.3
Marlins
40-39 Rating 1498
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 111 141
Last 5 meetings 0 5
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 76 79
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.7 4.9
Win percentage 30% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 52%